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Cubs 2010 Season Will Determine How Good Off-Season Was

February 7th, 2010

What should be one of the bigger advantages for top major league organizations is the size of their wallet and the ability to move top prospects for accomplished stars during the off-season. The New York Yankees were able to trade some of their high level prospects in exchange for center fielder Curtis Granderson. The Boston Red Sox spent a ton of money for a solid starting pitcher when they inked John Lackey. The team with the third largest payroll behind the two aforementioned teams is the Chicago Cubs. They signed free agent Marlon Byrd to a cheap 3 year contract. It was not exactly a stellar off-season for the second year in a row for Jim Hendry and company.  

It’s hard to believe a team could have pigeon holed themselves to not be able to make any big moves when their payroll is so high. The Cubs had to scratch and claw just to be able to trade 2009 disappointment Milton Bradley who was shipped off to Seattle. In return, the Cubs received Carlos Silva who isn’t expected to do anything more than fill in some innings while Ted Lilly is on the mend at the start of the season. That is being optimistic. The Cubs also resigned John Grabow to a pretty decent contract considering the team had options with cheaper veterans or in house options such as John Gaub. Oh and the Cubs did sign Xavier Nady (coming off his second tommy john surgery), Chad Tracy (who hasn’t hit in years, and Kevin Millar (who seems to have been around forever). While it does seem to bolster the bench with veterans, these moves along with the others don’t add up to making significant strides in improving after a lackluster 2009 campaign.  

Not much is expected this year from the Chicago Cubs at least from its fans. 2009 is now looked at as what to expect rather than expecting the Cubs to be more like the 2007-2008 teams. Why should fans expect to see a change? There are glimmers of hope. Health will play a very important part of the Cubs season. Carlos Zambrano and Geovany Soto have already shown to be in much better shape than last winter. Aramis Ramirez and Alfonso Soriano have had plenty of time to rest and should be ready for the season assuming they stayed in shape. These four can definitely play key roles in giving this team closer to 90 wins and a chance at the division.  

Their biggest obstacle this year will most likely come from their rivals; the St. Louis Cardinals. The Cardinals had themselves a fine off season as the signed Matt Holliday to huge contract which will keep the slugger protecting Albert Pujols for years. They also signed Brad Penny to a contract in hopes of Dave Duncan returning him to prominence. And we all know that is a distinct possibility. The health of their two aces will be something to watch. Chris Carpenter and Adam Wainwright is as good a 1-2 punch at the top of the rotation as any in baseball.  

This really has been a long off-season for many reasons. The Cubs did get a new owner which always brings in more hope but fixing the bathrooms seems more on his mind than fixing the back end of the bullpen. The Cubs did receive good reports on many players but can they perform to the level of two or three years ago. The Cubs got rid of Milton Bradley and Kevin Gregg. Well, that’s good. But is it enough?

Posted by John Ontiveros in John's View

7 Responses to “Cubs 2010 Season Will Determine How Good Off-Season Was”

  1. Cubsrule says:

    It’s funny because the Red Sox are kind of my model for repeated long term success. They do what the Cubs refuse to do repeatedly and that’s evaluate talent well, develop from within and only trade top tier specs for top tier talent. Minus Wilkin who has done a fantastic job of laying a foundation for a great farm, upper management has continued to disappoint me.

  2. Bob Sacamento says:

    Hendry pigeoned-holed himself into his recent lackluster offseasons by signing players to large multiyear deals that are backloaded with no trade options. After the 2010 season only two major salaries come off the book in Lee and Lilly and they have to be replaced. Along with that, we have several players getting raises through contract obligations and arbitration as well.

    The Red Sox are the ideal model for the Cubs to look to, as they are big budget but operate as if they were a mid-market club; taking much of their ideas from Beane’s Athletics and “Moneyball”. Even after adding Scouting Guru Tim Wilken, Hendry hasn’t relinquish his total control over the scouting system implementing many of his chosen few with Wilken at the helm.

    Since the inclusion of Wilken into the organization, our national and foreign scouting have both improved. To the point that our lower level minor leagues are filled with high end talent that we should be reaping some of those benefits within the next two years and for years to come.

    As for upper management, Hendry isn’t great at signing players. Annually, he signs players to extra years, backloaded deals, and no trade clauses; and they all come back to bite him in the end. The Cubs already have 105M committed in 2011 to nine players (OF Soriano, OF Byrd, OF Fukudome, 3B Ramirez, SP Zambrano, SP Dempster, SP Silva, RP Samardzija, RP Grabow). In addition to that Marmol, Theriot, and Soto will be looking at good size raises and the team will need to replace free agents 1B Lee and SP Lilly.

  3. Cubsrule says:

    Bob, do you think it is concievable the Cubs will try to trade Soriano at years end if he is completey healthy and has a good year.

  4. Bob Sacamento says:

    Alf will be 34yo to start the 2010 season, even if he has a career year in 2010 he’ll be extremely difficult to trade. Mainly due to his remaining contact which will be 76M/4yr and will expire when he is 38yo but he’s also difficult to deal due to his lack of position. At best Soriano is an average LFer defensively, he makes up for it with a strong yet inaccurate arm. His likely future is at 1B and with the Cubs; his contract is one of the worst in baseball. Unless the Cubs eat at least a 1/3 to 1/2 of the contract or trade for an even worse contract, Soriano is most likely to fill out most of his remaining deal with the Cubs.

  5. Cubsrule says:

    Yeah, I hate the situation Hendry has put us in, I really hope that if we don’t win this year his butt is canned because the longer he is here it seems the longer he digs us deeper in a hole that really only Wilkin is keeping shallow.

  6. cubfanbrad says:

    PS, Soriano has a no-trade clause, which makes it even toughter to try to trade him.

    It wouldn’t surprise me if HE replaces D-Lee, and someone else ends up in LF

  7. Bob Sacamento says:

    There is no doubt that Alf’s contract is one of the worst in MLB and add that he has a no trade clause, and it’s worse. The best the Cubs can hope for is that some AL team with a DH can add him to their roster while Chicago pays part of salary. As he ages, he’s most likely to move to 1B as long as he’s in the NL.

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